Summary
Trump’s approval rating has turned negative in a new YouGov/Economist poll, with 50% disapproving versus 45% approving of his job performance.
This marks the first underwater rating in a month, following similar trends in other polls. Political experts attribute the decline to backlash against tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports and DOGE’s federal worker firings.
While Trump maintains stronger approval on national security (51%) and immigration (50%), he scores lowest on inflation (42%).
The poll shows a particularly sharp drop among independents, shifting from -5 to -17 approval margin.
How the fuck is he still close to 50%? Do those idiots have to go broke and hungry for not getting their social security, and have their mum die due to no medicaid?
Right-wing media capture is a significant contributor, plus many of these people have been supporting him for so long that it’s like a frog in boiling water. That said, as more and more if this shit starts effecting them personally, they’ve been loosing faith in their Omnisiah God-King.
Caveat: I’m not a statistician, but my job requires that I interpret large pools of raw data to interpolate outcomes for even larger systems. Think using 30 respondents and a week of observation/collection to represent 2500-10,000 respondents over the course of a year. The way I collect, analyze, interpret, and present my data is scrutinized heavily from every angle (as it should be) but still very susceptible to biases. Fortunately, I’m super autistic and it’s basically impossible for me to lie so I’m considered really good at what I do.
These surveys are typically done via methods that are prone to significant statistical errors. For the most part they use phone calls, Facebook ads, emails that most people under the age of 65 just delete (or never even see because it’s caught by spam filters). This, combined with the fact that the type of people who will reply to these sort of questionaires are always more right-leaning skews the data even further.
If someone approached you on the street asking you to take a survey, about Pervert Hoover what would you do? Uncle Jerry, who’s known for providing his unsolicited opinions about librulz and the gays, and Aunt Elaine who doesn’t want to get backhanded at home so she just stands there usually count as two respondents.
That’s not even touching the bias almost always introduced by the question and answer formats. “Do you agree with the President’s policy of deporting people with legal residency status due to excercising their First Amendment Rights? (Y/N)” is a totally different outcome to “Do you agree with the President’s national security policies? (Y/N)”
These articles are always written to imply they’ve surveyed everyone in the country, done the math to adjust for selection bias, and written the survey questions to be fair, but time and time again that’s proven to be untrue, or at least inaccurate. The interesting (and honestly the only good news we hear anymore) is that even with all of the cards literally and figuratively stacked in the orange skidmark’s favor, he’s only getting as positive an outcome as he is.
And there’s also the need for clicks and ad revenue.
TL; DR: these things are bullshit and always produce wildly inaccurate results skewed in favor of the dumbest outcomes.
The wild thing is that that is still better than his approval rating from the same time period in his first time. So, from a certain perspective, he’s more popular than ever before. 🤮
Why would Biden to that to them?!
Because they’re watching mainstream news, which even tiptoes around the tarrifs and doesn’t broadcast Trump’s daily interviews unless a clip makes him look good. They really just know the government is getting cut and that we’ve started a trade war with (checks notes) everyone
This is going to change when effects of his policies actually start to land - so far we’re looking at disastrous moves in horror, but they’re getting a very toned down snapshot through a rose colored lens
The tariffs haven’t actually gone through so there’s still people that think he’s just threatening them to get a better deal. They don’t know he’s just stupid as hell and will put the tariffs in and they will cause a recession or depression.
And in particular, people do not understand how justifiably epically pissed off Canadians are about Trump threatening their sovereignty. There’s an entire dimension of Trump’s willful destruction of the US’ foreign alliances that I don’t think the general public is aware of at all.