The presidential election isn't a toss-up
www.natesilver.net
As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.
  • Rapidcreek@lemmy.world
    0·
    9 months ago

    In 2022, Dem strategist Simon Rosenberg flatly asserted that there would be no “red wave” and the Dems would overperform expectations.

    Nate Silver said the only way Rosenberg could come to that conclusion was that he’d been ingesting “hopium.”

    Rosenberg was right. Silver was wrong (though he’ll die before admitting it).

    Then Rosenberg started The Hopium Chronicles, which I suggest you read

    • LibertyLizard@slrpnk.net
      0·
      9 months ago

      Party strategists always say their party is going to do well. It’s part of their job. I don’t think this is particularly meaningful, unless you think there’s some particular methodology he has access to that’s better than Silver’s.