The majority of Canadians feel as safe or safer in their neighbourhoods than they did 10 years ago, according to the latest public issues polling from Nanos Research – but Conservative voters are a significant exception.
I’m not a Conservative and think that the conservative obsession with crime is overblown and borders on hysterical but it’s incorrect to say that Canadians are as safe as they were 10 years ago. Violent crime has been on the rise every year since 2014 after a sustained period of reduction. We’re now at roughly the same crime rate we were in 2002.
Apparently the numbers don’t match because they expanded the definition of “violent crime” — so I guess whatever new offenses were added to it must account for most of whatever that huge decline circa 2014 was about.
That’s an obvious explanation of why the reported numbers change but most of the population can’t process the information.
It requires a multi-step of thinking to understand and reverses the assumed conclusion when people first look at the numbers.
its just like when people look at violent crime rates in the 1960’s-90’s. The reported crime rates were steadily increasing even while the actual violent crime rates fell. What changed was a societal acceptance of what constituted a violent crime.
Suddenly beating the shit out of somebody with a different skin color, your kids, or wife was no longer considered a fun weekend activity and was instead a violent crime.
I’m not a Conservative and think that the conservative obsession with crime is overblown and borders on hysterical but it’s incorrect to say that Canadians are as safe as they were 10 years ago. Violent crime has been on the rise every year since 2014 after a sustained period of reduction. We’re now at roughly the same crime rate we were in 2002.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/525173/canada-violent-crime-rate/
Feelings are fine. But facts are facts.
Interesting to compare that to the longer-term data that’s available: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/240725/cg-b002-eng.htm
Apparently the numbers don’t match because they expanded the definition of “violent crime” — so I guess whatever new offenses were added to it must account for most of whatever that huge decline circa 2014 was about.
Oh that’s interesting, I didn’t realize that. Thanks for the info.
That’s an obvious explanation of why the reported numbers change but most of the population can’t process the information.
It requires a multi-step of thinking to understand and reverses the assumed conclusion when people first look at the numbers.
its just like when people look at violent crime rates in the 1960’s-90’s. The reported crime rates were steadily increasing even while the actual violent crime rates fell. What changed was a societal acceptance of what constituted a violent crime.
Suddenly beating the shit out of somebody with a different skin color, your kids, or wife was no longer considered a fun weekend activity and was instead a violent crime.
Having to create a user account to see the stats can source seemed wrong:
There is 35% of that increase in violent crime that is due to extortion. That’s not the kind of crime you would see “in the streets”
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/240725/dq240725b-eng.htm
Wow 40% increase. That’s bad. It also starts almost exactly from when Trudeau took charge so it looks/is even worse.