Space rock now has 2.3% risk of collision – up from 1.3% in December – but danger is likely to fall with more data
Archived version: https://archive.is/newest/https://www.theguardian.com/science/2025/feb/06/asteroid-impact-chances
Disclaimer: The article linked is from a single source with a single perspective. Make sure to cross-check information against multiple sources to get a comprehensive view on the situation.
The impact risk corridor isn’t anywhere near Russia.
See: https://iawn.net//documents/NOTIFICATIONS/IAWN_Potential_Impact_Notification_2024_YR4.pdf
Here’s an image to visualise if that’s more to your liking: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/8a/2024_YR4_risk_corridor.png
I guess it depends of the point of reference. I would say that looks pretty close to Russia.