- cross-posted to:
- worldnews@lemmy.ml
- cross-posted to:
- worldnews@lemmy.ml
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im sure Trump’s offer of military aid for rare minerals was also shared with Russia - Accepting Russian sovereignty over Donbass/Luhansk/Crimea for favourable deals on rare minerals by whatever puppet admin Russia installs on victory.
Either way, the US makes out with some kind of payment no matter how the war goes.
I’m not so sure that Russia will be interested in making deals with the US though. They’re likely to prefer to continue shifting trade towards more reliable partners like China. The reality is that Russia doesn’t need to make a deal here, they can just win militarily.
You’re right, though politically it does favour Russia (and somewhat the US) to have the war won faster and with less blood.
I’m sure generals and diplomats on both sides aren’t above a neo-molotov-ribbentrop deal, knowing it won’t last forever. Biden was a bigger obstacle to that than Putin.
If I were Putin I would make deals with Trump and then just not follow through with them. “we’ll ship as much rare earths as you like at 10% below market value for the next 25 years if you stop sending weapons and money to ukraine and recognise the Donbas referendums as legitimate.” First shipment arrives, usa announces its support of the Russian position, second shipment never arrives, Putin tells trump “ok we’ll honor our deal when nato honors its pledge to not admit any nations east of germany.”
Thing is that Russia doesn’t want to be seen as being flaky. If they start doing shit like that then it will make it impossible for anyone to trust them going forward. And ultimately they don’t need to play games. They’re winning the war, and there’s nothing the west can do to stop that. I think Russia wants this conflict to end definitively on their terms so that it’s crystal clear to everyone that Russia will not be bullied by the west going forward.
I wonder if Russia should accept this proposal of exchanging territories, because they’re too emotionally attached to their west, so giving up in their far east on an equal number of square kilometers(, minus Transnistria which would/could join Ukraine,) could give them company in their demographic balancing toward the East.
One condition should be to ensure that such territory wouldn’t become a thorn in Russia’s side ; so what remains of Ukraine, as well as their new territory, wouldn’t be able to be with anti-russians anymore.
It’s too late to be nice to each other, but on the other side Ukraine and Russia have a very long history together. If they can side together in their eastern expansion, they could perhaps end up brothers and sisters again, especially with Odessa and Transnistria, but perhaps even eastern Galicia one day.
There’d have to be conditions, in exchange, towards Ukraine’s friendliness after the war though.(And if Russia wants more children then women have to stop working, it doesn’t come from anywhere else, and fathers could stay at home instead(, a 50-50 between fathers//mothers at home in the population could easily be done with propaganda, it’d be a difference from the past), but it’s a full-time job past 3-4 children, the desire wouldn’t be there)
Thank you Mr.Trump
Russia already emphatically ruled out any possibility of a territory swap.
I’m honestly surprised it has gone on as long as it has, isn’t Ukraine struggling to conscript anyone under 25?
They’re openly admitting that conscription is not sufficient to backfill positions now. It looks like the inflection point has been hit at the end of last year where the front is visibly starting to collapse. It’s going to take a few more months, but it will accelerate. Pokrovsk is place to watch because once that falls then the front will be split in two with no way to reinforce.
