Let’s not jump the gun just yet. Nothing tangible has actually happened, this could just be Trump putting on a theater to look like he’s keeping his campaign promises and Russia humoring him by going through the usual diplomatic motions and platitudes, but it has definitely been fun to watch the reaction from the collective liberal sphere.
I still agree with the more cautious analysis that i’ve read on this which says that basically there is little Trump can actually do, because there is no deal that he can offer that Russia would take. And so the final resolution will still have to come on the battlefield itself over the course of this year. But we’ll have to wait and see what happens.
We’re in a time when things are moving so chaotically that at this point it is very hard to predict what will happen in the short term, week to week. Tomorrow something completely surprising could happen that proves me wrong. The broad trajectory is clear, but how exactly it unfolds in detail i think no one knows yet, not even the people in the drivers’ seat of all this. Trump certainly seems to be mostly just winging it.
The act of Trump calling Putin directly is the important event here. Regardless of how this plays out going forward, Europeans have been told in plain terms that their interests will not be represented in the negotiations. The whole nature of the relationship between US and Europe will be very different going forward.
There are two ways this can play out now. Either Trump agrees to Russian terms, which seems to be the way things are currently headed, or he just pulls funding from the project and walks away. Both scenarios mean that the war is going to be over quickly and on Russian terms.
I strongly suspect it will be the former because I think that the US will want to restore relations with Russia in an attempt to arrest the alternate economic bloc forming around BRICS from gaining further momentum. I expect that Trump will try to bring Russia back into the SWIFT system and convince them to trade in dollars. I expect that Russia won’t shut the door on that entirely. Trump is also frantically trying to improve relations with India getting them to buy F35s, and demanding that the US become their main energy supplier. It seems like Trump admin sees BRICS as the biggest threat, which is a correct view from US perspective incidentally.
They are just gonna land on “stab in the back myth” where the evil Trumputin, pawn of the Putler, stabs brave, totally not nazi ukronazispatriots in the back preventing them from protecting entire Western CivilizationTM from Asiatic HordesTM and since the predicted Russian invasion of entire Europe won’t materialise they are gonna credit the stalwart position of German Browns, Polish Winged Hussars and Baltic Chihuahuas.
The real problem lbis face isn’t Russia though but the collapsing economy in Europe which is getting worse by the day. My prediction is that we’ll start seeing more and more nationalist governments come to power, and they will start normalizing relations with Russia on case by case basis. If EU stands in the way of that, I think there’s a high likelihood countries will exit in favor of joining BRICS.
Reddit libs shitting their pants and foaming at the mouth over this more than anything else that has come from Trump and Elons bullshit.
The meltdowns are absolutely incredible to watch, and it’s just the start. Their whole world is collapsing in front of their eyes.
Let’s not jump the gun just yet. Nothing tangible has actually happened, this could just be Trump putting on a theater to look like he’s keeping his campaign promises and Russia humoring him by going through the usual diplomatic motions and platitudes, but it has definitely been fun to watch the reaction from the collective liberal sphere.
I still agree with the more cautious analysis that i’ve read on this which says that basically there is little Trump can actually do, because there is no deal that he can offer that Russia would take. And so the final resolution will still have to come on the battlefield itself over the course of this year. But we’ll have to wait and see what happens.
We’re in a time when things are moving so chaotically that at this point it is very hard to predict what will happen in the short term, week to week. Tomorrow something completely surprising could happen that proves me wrong. The broad trajectory is clear, but how exactly it unfolds in detail i think no one knows yet, not even the people in the drivers’ seat of all this. Trump certainly seems to be mostly just winging it.
The act of Trump calling Putin directly is the important event here. Regardless of how this plays out going forward, Europeans have been told in plain terms that their interests will not be represented in the negotiations. The whole nature of the relationship between US and Europe will be very different going forward.
There are two ways this can play out now. Either Trump agrees to Russian terms, which seems to be the way things are currently headed, or he just pulls funding from the project and walks away. Both scenarios mean that the war is going to be over quickly and on Russian terms.
I strongly suspect it will be the former because I think that the US will want to restore relations with Russia in an attempt to arrest the alternate economic bloc forming around BRICS from gaining further momentum. I expect that Trump will try to bring Russia back into the SWIFT system and convince them to trade in dollars. I expect that Russia won’t shut the door on that entirely. Trump is also frantically trying to improve relations with India getting them to buy F35s, and demanding that the US become their main energy supplier. It seems like Trump admin sees BRICS as the biggest threat, which is a correct view from US perspective incidentally.
They are just gonna land on “stab in the back myth” where the evil Trumputin, pawn of the Putler, stabs brave, totally not nazi ukro
nazispatriots in the back preventing them from protecting entire Western CivilizationTM from Asiatic HordesTM and since the predicted Russian invasion of entire Europe won’t materialise they are gonna credit the stalwart position of German Browns, Polish Winged Hussars and Baltic Chihuahuas.The real problem lbis face isn’t Russia though but the collapsing economy in Europe which is getting worse by the day. My prediction is that we’ll start seeing more and more nationalist governments come to power, and they will start normalizing relations with Russia on case by case basis. If EU stands in the way of that, I think there’s a high likelihood countries will exit in favor of joining BRICS.