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threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.works to Astronomy@mander.xyzEnglish · 5 months ago

Don’t panic, but an asteroid has a 1.9% chance of hitting Earth in 2032

arstechnica.com

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Don’t panic, but an asteroid has a 1.9% chance of hitting Earth in 2032

arstechnica.com

threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.works to Astronomy@mander.xyzEnglish · 5 months ago
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More data will likely reduce the chance of an impact to zero. If not, we have options.
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  • Sterile_Technique@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    Better late than never I guess.

    • Comment105@lemm.ee
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      5 months ago

      I’m not even joking. I want this asteroid to hit our planet and make us all go the way of the dinos.

      • Da Cap’n@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        5 months ago

        Yes, please!

  • vga@sopuli.xyz
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    5 months ago

    Can we launch a satellite at it, perhaps detonate a huge nuke on it to make that chance higher?

    Wait, we could just detonate all those huge nukes here right now. Show that stupid asteroid.

    • Ricky Rigatoni@lemm.ee
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      5 months ago

      Nuke the far side of the moon and plunge it into earth. Give the asteroid inadequacy issues.

      • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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        5 months ago

        Wouldn’t detonating on the forward side rather than the zenith side be most effective at lowering the perigee of the moon?

        • Comment105@lemm.ee
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          5 months ago

          You think humanity would be in this spot if the average person had a fucking clue whatsoever?

          • Rivalarrival@lemmy.today
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            5 months ago

            Tell me you’ve never played Kerbal Space Program without telling me you’ve never played Kerbal Space Program.

        • Ricky Rigatoni@lemm.ee
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          5 months ago

          all i remember from my ksp days is add more struts

          • Krik@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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            5 months ago

            all i remember from my ksp days is add more struts boosters

            Fixed it for you.

            • Ricky Rigatoni@lemm.ee
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              5 months ago

              Alas, without the struts, the boosters shall return unto The Lord, leaving thine kerbalnauts Kerbinbound.

    • Miles O'Brien@startrek.website
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      5 months ago

      Project Sundial can still make a comeback.

  • Coreidan@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    I’ll only panic if it misses

  • adarza@lemmy.ca
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    5 months ago

    is there any way to hurry it along?

  • expatriado@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    that was Trump chances in 2016…

  • parpol@programming.dev
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    5 months ago

    To people having panic attacks, it is not large enough to destroy the earth, and we would have plenty of time to evacuate the impact location. Though let’s hope it isn’t anywhere with permafrost.

    • SuperSaiyanSwag@lemmy.zip
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      5 months ago

      Well that’s disappointing

    • taiyang@lemmy.world
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      5 months ago

      Aw, you think we’ll still have permafrost by then.

    • Jimmycakes@lemmy.world
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      5 months ago

      You mean populate the impact zone because I’m going to watch

      • hungprocess@lemmy.sdf.org
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        5 months ago

        Your browser does not support playing HTML5 video. You can download a copy of the video file instead.

      • Miles O'Brien@startrek.website
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        5 months ago

        Yeah, my dogs will be gone by then so I would absolutely set up a tent close enough to catch it. I’d even bring a baseball glove for shits and giggles.

  • chemical_cutthroat@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    Jesus is coming back and he’s pissed…

  • oleorun@real.lemmy.fan
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    5 months ago

    Eh, Paradise and Silo got me ready for the future.

  • TheObviousSolution@kbin.melroy.org
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    5 months ago

    Those are better odds than the lottery. Has anyone set up a betting pool yet?

  • MrTrono@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    Am I supposed to panic because it’s unlikely to hit? Meanwhile I’m out here wishing for death by meteor.

    • lordnikon@lemmy.world
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      5 months ago

      Not to be a doomer but most of us will be dead by then I just hope the meteor takes out any lucky oligarchs still alive in a bunker.

      • Omgpwnies@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        You think “most of us” will be dead in … 7 years? That’s pretty doomer if you ask me.

        • llamacoffee@lemmy.world
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          5 months ago

          Very doomer. Does lemmy have a “remind me in 7 years” bot? 😅

        • lordnikon@lemmy.world
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          5 months ago

          I just read the ipcc reports and if you read those and don’t start a bucket list for the time we have left. I don’t know what to tell you. Trust me I don’t want to be this way I will fight where I can but I’m going to live my life the same time way a terminal patient lives. Cherish the days we got and if I’m wrong I will eat crow happily with a big smile on my face.

    • LouNeko@lemmy.world
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      5 months ago

      Yeah I’ll take one for the team. I go to the point of impact and when it finaly hits, I’m gonna try to punch it back into orbit.

      You don’t have to thank me.

      • joelfromaus@aussie.zone
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        5 months ago

        Honestly, at this point, there might be enough of us volunteering to bounce that fucker back to Jupiter. A lot of us will be turned into jam but I think it’s worth the sacrifice.

      • MrTrono@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        But I’m on team meteor

    • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      5 months ago

      Just in case this comment is not a joke, here’s the WHO page on suicide prevention.

      Either way, there are a few billion other people on this planet who would rather not die by meteor, thank you very much.

      • PhobosAnomaly@feddit.uk
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        5 months ago

        I mean, if I was going to go out, then getting my shit mixed by a meteor is pretty awesome. I’m sure I’ll make it on to a few Buzzfeed articles over the next ten or twenty years.

        All things considered though, it would indeed be nice if it landed somewhere inconsequential like the ocean; the desert; or Florida.

        • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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          5 months ago

          Florida

          You jest, but the Kennedy Space Center is in Florida. Putting the world’s busiest spaceport out of commission might put a damper on future asteroid deflection missions…

          • grue@lemmy.world
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            5 months ago

            Eh, they can launch from Vandenburg if it’s that important. (Or, ya know, Guiana or Baikonur or whatever.)

            • Mirshe@lemmy.world
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              5 months ago

              Assuming any foreign space agency will work with NASA now…

        • ShaggySnacks@lemmy.myserv.one
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          5 months ago

          What about hitting the Republican National Convention?

        • murmelade@lemmy.ml
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          5 months ago

          Hell yeah this would be my choice too on preferred way to die. There’s something beautifully deterministic about it, a random space rock flying around for millions of years and all my lifes choices and circumstances ending up in standing on the exact spot the meteorite ends its journey. Right in my head. Lovely.

  • Floshie@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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    5 months ago

    should I mention “don’t look up” ?

  • HorikBrun@kbin.earth
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    5 months ago

    Panic?!

    You mean throw a welcome party?

  • solsangraal@lemmy.zip
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    5 months ago

    i don’t like those odds. anything we can do to bump it up to around 75%-100%?

    • burgersc12@mander.xyz
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      5 months ago

  • casmael@lemm.ee
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    5 months ago

    Okay so how big is this meteor then

    • everett@lemmy.ml
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      5 months ago

      Exactly one meteor wide. Do you need the height as well?

      • dellish@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        Is it meteoric?

    • psud@aussie.zone
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      5 months ago

      Were it to hit it would hit like a large nuke

    • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      5 months ago

      Listed in the article:

      Scientists estimate that 2024 YR4 is between 130 to 300 feet (40 and 90 meters) wide

      • SpongeBorgCubePants@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        How many giraffes is it tho

        • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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          5 months ago

          !anythingbutmetric@discuss.tchncs.de

      • Comment105@lemm.ee
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        5 months ago

        Fuck, I was hoping for a 10-15 km wide one.

    • GooberEar@lemmy.wtf
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      5 months ago

      It’s around 1000 millimeteors

    • Norgoroth@lemmy.world
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      5 months ago

      130 - 400 meters

  • Idea@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    5 months ago

    Scott Manley video explaining the subject

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